IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS ON THE ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT

Abstract

The demographic and labor factors of the economic security of the regions of the Siberian Federal District (SFD) have been studied. The main criteria for determining demographic security are identified and the author's definition of demographic security is given in terms of its impact on the economic stability and growth of the region. The socio-demographic and labor indicators of the economic security of the regions of the SFD are analyzed, and the territorial differentiation of values is revealed. A comparison of the values of the indicators of the regions of the SFD with the average Russian ones was carried out. The problematic social aspects that form the main threats to demographic security are identified. On the basis of correlation and regression analysis, causal relationships were identified for indicators of the number of permanent populations, the share of the population with incomes below the subsistence level, and the share of the working-age population. A regression equation has been constructed for further forecasting the level of demographic security. The demographic factors of threats to the economic security of the regions of the SFD are revealed.