STABILITY OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IN CONDITIONS OF TURBULENCE: DIFFERENTIATION OF DEVELOPMENT MODELS BASED ON THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH AND STABILITY

Abstract

The article is devoted to the development of a methodology for differentiating models of sustainable development of production systems in the context of global turbulence. The relevance of the study is due to the need to ensure economic security and increase the effectiveness of anti-crisis regulation in the context of geopolitical, environmental and technological challenges. Based on the analysis of modern scientific approaches to the interpretation of sustainable development of an enterprise, the authors systematize two methodological positions: operational-adaptive (focus on growth stability) and resource-strategic (focus on UN principles). The article proposes an original methodology for typifying sustainability models based on a comparison of the coefficient of variation of production and the growth rate of the volume of shipped products. Testing of the methodology on Rosstat data for 2017-2023 revealed the dominance of the "advancing unstable development" (high growth rates with low stability) and "lagging stable development" (low growth rates with high stability) models in the Russian industry. The results of the study demonstrate the absence of industries with simultaneous stability and advanced growth, which indicates structural problems in the industrial sector. The practical significance of the work lies in the possibility of using the methodology to assess the effectiveness of management, develop anti-crisis programs and optimize public policy in the field of technological sovereignty.